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Tag: modelling

Money Money Money

Posted on by Angela Vumbaca

In this Weekly Dispatch:

  1. AEMC modelling suggests that network pricing reform could deliver $6 billion in system savings.
  2. The prime minister is deciding against a move to increase taxes on gas giants in next month’s budget.
  3. The government is proposing changes to capital gains tax for foreign investors, and the renewable industry is worried this will increase prices.
  4. The AEMC amended the calculation of the cumulative price during periods of peak market stress and introduced a new distribution network development plan to support more proactive, long-term planning.
  5. Biggest rooftop solar in Japan, rated at 6.0125 MW, just became operational in the Kansai region, with all its generation to be sold wholesale via the FIP scheme.
  6. J-POWER and Kyushu EPCO held a completion ceremony for Japan’s largest offshore wind farm to-date, the 220 MW Kita-Kyushu Hibiki-nada project, consisting of 25 Vestas turbines rated at 9.6 MW each.
  7. Podcast of the week: Let Me Sum Up chat about investing and business opposition to climate policy.

Driver Re-Viva

Posted on by Angela Vumbaca

In this Weekly Dispatch:

  1. Electric bus, train and light rail services in New South Wales will run on fully renewable energy from next year under a new $1.9bn deal.
  2. The federal government confirms purchase of 100m litres of diesel in bid to boost supply amid Iran war oil crisis.
  3. Uncertainty over fuel supplies after major fire at oil refinery in Geelong.
  4. IMF warns energy crisis could trigger global recession
  5. IHI, a major heavy industrial player in Japan, has announced that setting up a 2MW gas turbine that runs on 100% ammonia in Malaysia.
  6. Amazon Australia links nine new renewable energy PPAs.
  7. TEPCO began commercial operation of Unit 6 (rated at 1.36GW) of the Kashiwazaki-Kariwa nuclear power plant after a 7-week delay.
  8. Podcast of the week:  Switched On chat about dealing with data centres, large loads and supply gaps.

Electric Feel

Posted on by Angela Vumbaca

In this Weekly Dispatch:

  1. National Electricity Market (NEM) emissions have dropped 25 per cent since 2020.
  2. EV sales soared by 42 per cent this month, including electric trucks.
  3. South Australia fast-tracked reforms to heavy vehicle limits in response to the fuel crisis, reducing fuel usage by 18 per cent.
  4. Independent Planning Commission in NSW has approved an 800MW solar farm with 356MW/1,574MWh battery energy storage system.
  5. Solar panel prices are increasing by 10–30 per cent in Japan.
  6. Podcast of the week: Let Me Sum Up unpacks the national fuel security plan.

April Fuels

Posted on by Angela Vumbaca

In this Weekly Dispatch:

  1. The Government halves fuel excise for three months to ease the cost of petrol and diesel.
  2. State governments follow and agree to further fuel excise cuts, using extra GST revenue.
  3. The ACCC released their latest gas inquiry report, mentioning that gas supply will be tight in the third quarter of 2026.
  4. Hydrostor energy storage project resolves conflict with stargazing tourism business and construction will now go ahead as planned.
  5. The AEMC has finalised a framework for customers who want to permanently remove their gas connection. 
  6. Electric trucks need to be cheaper to encourage industry adoption.
  7. The Australian Energy Council released their 2050 vision featuring some of Endgame’s analysis.
  8. Podcast of the week: The Catalyst discusses managing nuclear waste.

All(um)in(ium) or nothing

Posted on by Angela Vumbaca

In this Weekly Dispatch:

  1. AEMO released the 2026 Gas Statement of Opportunities (GSOO) for the East Coast Gast Market, finding improved near-term supply conditions.
  2. IEA says second round of emergency fuel releases is on table with world leaders failing to grasp the depth of the energy crisis, saying it has dwarfed the fuel crises of the 1970s.
  3. The Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) calls for Australia to reduce its exposure to oil shocks, having the lowest reserves out of all International Energy Agency (IEA) members.
  4. The Queensland and federal governments will each invest $1 billion to help Rio Tinto’s Boyne aluminium smelter transition to renewable energy.
  5. Australia’s diesel standards will be lowered for six months.
  6. Synergy has entered Power Purchase Agreements with two wind farms.
  7. In response to the ongoing geopolitical crisis in the Middle East, the Japanese government has decided to ramp up the use of “inefficient” coal power plants, for a temporary one-year period of FY2026.
  8. Paywalled: NSW government is seeking a similar deal (as Rio Tinto above) with the federal government to rescue Tomago smelter.
  9. Podcast of the week: Let Me Sum Up chat about measures to reduce impacts on households due to the energy crisis and PHEVs.

Please Mine your own Business

Posted on by Angela Vumbaca

In this Weekly Dispatch:

  1. The AER released the draft Default Market Offer (DMO), with lower prices across all networks and introducing the Solar Sharer Offer.
  2. Countries in Asia are struggling with fuel supplies. Sri Lanka has introduced weekly fuel quotas, the Philippines and Vietnam have introduced a four-day working week and Thailand has told professionals to work from home.
  3. The NSW Government will no longer grant new licences to explore for coal.
  4. The federal government has established a national fuel supply taskforce, appointing Anthea Harris as the national coordinator.
  5. The Federal government has asked the Treasury to model different tax options on gas.
  6. The AEMC has released a consultation paper on Improving Compensation Frameworks based on the rule change request from AEMO and Tilt Renewables.
  7. METI will no longer provide FIT/FIP subsidy scheme for new solar projects from FY2027 onward; they have also announced that the Renewable Levy for FY2026 will be 4.18 yen/kWh, an increase of 0.2 yen/kWh compared to FY2025.
  8. Podcast of the week:  Let Me Sum up talks about fossil fuel energy’s minimum viable scale.

Highway to the danger zone

Posted on by Angela Vumbaca

In this Weekly Dispatch:

  1. Oil shock from the Iran war prompts the International Energy Agency to release the largest ever volume of emergency oil.
  2. Australia releases seven days of petrol and five of diesel from emergency stockpiles and the energy minister has relaxed fuel standards for two months to allow more supply to the domestic market.
  3. The AEMC proposes new grid standards for data centre connections. They are also seeking submissions for enhancing security frameworks.
  4. Western Australia is offering $153.3 million to assist local manufacturers in decarbonising.
  5. Paywalled: Demand for electric vehicles increases as petrol prices soar. This article also features analysis from Endgame.
  6. Vestas is planning to set up an assembly & manufacturing hub for nacelles in Kita-Kyushu City, Fukuoka Prefecture in Japan.
  7. Podcast of the week: Columbia Energy Exchange discusses the Strait of Hormuz and supplies of oil.

ID(e)A of March

Posted on by Angela Vumbaca

In this Weekly Dispatch:

  1. Gas prices are expected to increase amid the war in the Middle East.
  2. NSW Government endorses 14 energy projects through its new Investment Delivery Authority (IDA).
  3. Australia Post expands its fleet of electric vehicles.
  4. The Japanese government is searching for a permanent, final disposal site for spent nuclear fuel in Japan, suggesting Ogasawara Islands.
  5. Paywalled: The federal government is considering changes to the home battery rebate scheme due to high costs.
  6. Podcast of the week: The Catalyst chat about digging deep for geothermal.

Pork in the road

Posted on by Angela Vumbaca

In this Weekly Dispatch:

  1. The AEMC releases the new market price cap in the NEM to be $23,200/MWh from July 1 2026.
  2. The federal government has launched a consultation into domestic capacity to manufacture wind turbines and associated infrastructure.
  3. Regional NSW councils say work on renewable energy projects is damaging local roads.
  4. A major energy company is taking Australia’s largest pork producer to court over plans to build gas pipelines through its property.
  5. The CSIRO launched the $3 million upgrade of its Renewable Energy Integration Facility (REIF) at its Energy Centre in Newcastle.
  6. An alliance of 11 industry groups have delivered a plan to the federal government for data centres, including that they invest in 100% new renewable energy.
  7. Podcast of the week:  Let Me Sum Up is back with carbon pricing and the US climate demands.

Flipping to a new page

Posted on by Angela Vumbaca

In this Weekly Dispatch:

  1. The NSW Minister for Energy has directed ASL to deliver a firming tender in response to a forecast shortfall in capacity to meet the Energy Security Target from 2033-34.
  2. The offshore oil and gas regulator has shut down exports from Vermilion Oil and Gas Australia’s Wandoo gas field following an oil spill in December.
  3. Solar irradiance forecasting and various ways to predict cloud cover, limiting price spikes due to lower rooftop PV output.
  4. Stanwell has commenced commercial operations of its 300MW/600MWh Tarong battery energy storage system.
  5. [Paywalled]  The Queensland government is resisting giving network operators more powers to switch off household rooftop solar panels during grid distress.
  6. Podcast of the week:  Switched On discusses the ‘messy middle’ of sustainable finance.

Contact

ph. P +61 2 9037 0370
e. E info@endgameanalytics.com.au
a. A
Level 31, 9 Castlereagh St, Sydney NSW 2000
ph. +61 2 9037 0370
e. info@endgameanalytics.com.au
a.
Level 31, 9 Castlereagh St, Sydney NSW 2000

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